📄 Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia p. 58 Open PDF ↗
"the informal
economy. Labor market rigidities contribute about
28 percent, on average (Figure 2).3
A comparison of drivers across countries indicates
that the tax burden appears particularly important
in Morocco and Tunisia (Figure 2). Both these
countries have a high corporate tax rate, at about
30 percent, signifi cantly above the average for
developing countries of about 20 percent.4 In
Morocco, surveys of small fi rms reveal that a
high tax burden is the most signifi cant obstacle to
formalization—over 50 percent of surveyed fi rms
identify the level of taxes as the major reason for
not registering their business.
Notable among other drivers, rigid labor market
regulations appear to be particularly relevant
in Egypt, Lebanon, Morocco, and Syria. And
indeed, data from enterprise surveys indicate that
worldwide, the percentage of fi rms identifying
labor regulation as a major constraint on their
business operations is, on average, greatest in these
countries.5 In Egypt, for example, termination
regulations are overly stringent—severance
payments for established employees (including the
cost of advance notice requirements) amount to
up to 132 weeks’ worth of their fi nal salaries. In
Syria and Morocco, these payments are equivalent
to 80 weeks and 85 weeks, respectively6—much
higher than the average 39 weeks in the East Asia
and Pacifi c region and 26 weeks in the developed
3 To compute the contribution of each causal variable
(driver) to the size of the informal economy, we multiply
the estimated coefficient of the causal variable from
the MIMIC model by its value, and then divide by the
estimated size of the informal economy. See also note 1.
4 Roberta Gatti, Diego Angel-Urdinola, Joana Silva, and
Andras Bodor, 2011, Striving for Better Jobs: The Challenge of
Informality in the Middle East and North Africa (Washington:
World Bank).
5 See IMF, October 2010 Regional Economic Outlook: Middle
East and Central Asia.
6 World Bank, 2008, Doing Business 2009 (Washington).
Figure 2
Contribution of Determinants to the Size of the
Informal Economy
(Percent)
Sources: Authors’ estimates. See also notes 1 and 3 in the text.
Tax burden
Institutional quality
Regulatory burden in labor markets
Regulatory burden in product markets
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Egypt
Jordan
Lebanon
Morocco
Syria
Tunisia
2. MENAP OIL IMPORTERS: MEETING SOCIAL NEEDS, RESTORING ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE
47
world.7 Such high fi ring costs impede the expansion
of formal employment and either force formal
fi rms completely into the informal economy or
drive them to hire workers informally so that these
costs can be avoided.
What Can Policymakers Do?
The barriers to business and labor formality are
also barriers to inclusive growth. To remove them,
policymakers should
Improve the business climate and create a level playing fi eld
for everyone. Policy should focus on improving the
regulatory framework for businesses—by, among
other measures, simplifying entry regulations and
reducing compliance costs—while at the same
time creating an environment that fosters a fairer
enforcement of regulation. Such an approach not
only is conducive to investment and growth, but
also is inclusive as it allows all fi rms and workers to
compete fairly.
Reform labor market institutions. Overly"