📄 World Development Report 2010 p. 115 Open PDF ↗
"urban settlements
and simplifi ed drainage systems inevitably
fail, leading to fl ooding. A comprehensive
response to fl ood management includes
maintaining catchment cover, managing
wetlands and river channels, and siting
<2
20–50
Population in low elevation coastal zones (LECZ) (%)
2–5
>50
5–10
Landlocked countries/No data
10–20
Outside LECZ
Inside LECZ
Mega cities
Map 2.1 At risk: Population and megacities concentrate in low-elevation coastal zones threatened by sea level rise and storm surges
Source: United Nations 2008a.
Note: Megacities in 2007 included Beijing, Bombay, Buenos Aires, Cairo, Calcutta, Dhaka, Istanbul, Karachi, Los Angeles, Manila, Mexico City, Moscow, New Delhi, New York,
Osaka, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Seoul, Shanghai, and Tokyo. Megacities are defi ned as urban areas with more than 10 million inhabitants.
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WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2010
interventions show mixed results, however.
The Arab Republic of Egypt’s attempt to cre-
ate satellite cities to decongest Cairo never
attracted the projected population and did
little to stop population growth in Cairo,
partly because of the lack of policies to pro-
mote regional integration.37 Successful pol-
icies facilitate concentration and migration
during the early stages of urbanization and
interurban connectivity during the later
stages. Public investments in infrastructure
are most effective when they increase social
equity (through broader access to services)
and integrate the urban space (through the
transport system).38
Urbanization seldom is harmoni-
ous, generating pollution and pockets of
wrenching poverty and social dislocation.
Today, urban areas in developing coun-
tries are home to 746 million people liv-
ing below the poverty line (a quarter of the
world’s poor),39 and the urban poor suffer
from more than low income and consump-
tion. Overcrowding, insecure tenure, illegal
settlements sited in landslide- and fl ood-
prone areas, poor sanitation, unsafe hous-
ing, inadequate nutrition, and poor health
exacerbate the vulnerabilities of the 810
million people in urban slums.40
These many vulnerabilities call for com-
prehensive improvements in urban planning
and development. Government agencies,
particularly local ones, can shape the
adaptive capacity of households and busi-
nesses (box 2.2). But action by community-
based and nongovernmental organizations
(NGOs) is also crucial, particularly those
that build homes and directly provide ser-
vices, as slum-dweller organizations do.41
Sound planning and regulation can identify
high-risk zones in urban areas and allow
low-income groups to fi nd safe and afford-
able housing, as in Ilo, Peru, where local
authorities safely accommodated a fi vefold
increase in the population after 1960.42 But
hard investments in infrastructure may also
be required to protect urban zones, such as
coastal cities in North Africa, with seawalls
and embankments (box 2.3).
A major risk for urban areas is fl ooding—
often caused by buildings, infrastructure,
and paved areas that prevent infi ltration,
exacerbated by overwhelmed drainage sys-
tems. In well-managed cities fl ooding is
Climate change is only one of many
factors that determine urban vulner-
ability. For many coastal cities, migration
increases the population exposed to rising
sea levels, storm surges"